Trend & momentum
II · Trend & momentum Researched

Cross-asset trend following

Time-series momentum across FX, equity indices, and commodities, sized by volatility.

In plain terms

Markets that have been rising tend to keep rising for a while, and the same on the way down. This is the classic trend premium, tested across many markets at once.

How it works

Each market’s recent return is turned into a long or short tilt, sized so that volatile markets do not dominate the book, and diversified across asset classes.

What it’s tested against

Evaluated out-of-sample with costs stressed, and benchmarked against simply being long the market, so genuine timing is separated from drift.

Data

Cross-asset daily price history (FX, indices, commodities).

Researched — a disciplined look at the cross-asset trend premium.

All strategy families

Research record only. Strategy logic stays private; what is shown can be reconstructed from a versioned notebook and a dated data snapshot. Not investment advice.