Alt-data & nowcasting
VIII · Alt-data & nowcasting Researched

Post-earnings drift

Post-earnings-announcement drift evaluated at scale on a point-in-time panel.

In plain terms

Stocks tend to keep drifting in the direction of an earnings surprise for weeks after the announcement — the post-earnings-announcement drift. This studies whether that classic effect is still harvestable at scale.

How it works

Earnings surprises are ranked across a broad point-in-time universe, holding a diversified basket of the largest positive surprises against the largest negative ones.

What it’s tested against

Run on a survivorship-correct panel with earnings actuals and estimates, costs stressed, to separate a real residual drift from one already arbitraged away.

Data

IBES estimates and actuals; a CRSP / Compustat point-in-time panel.

Researched — evaluated at scale against the modern, more-efficient tape.

All strategy families

Research record only. Strategy logic stays private; what is shown can be reconstructed from a versioned notebook and a dated data snapshot. Not investment advice.