Commodity systems
IV · Commodity systems Researched

Gold H4 system

A daily-to-H4 gold system: a grey-model forecast, a multi-factor regime filter, and a confirmation layer.

In plain terms

A four-hour gold system that forecasts the next move, filters by the prevailing regime, and only acts when several conditions agree.

How it works

A short-horizon forecast is combined with a multi-factor regime filter and a confirmation layer; the specific model and thresholds are kept private.

What it’s tested against

Run through the firm’s discipline including a beta strip — the test that asks whether a gold system is timing skill or simply long gold in a rising market.

Data

Gold (XAU/USD) price history.

Sensitive — idea-level only.

All strategy families

Research record only. Strategy logic stays private; what is shown can be reconstructed from a versioned notebook and a dated data snapshot. Not investment advice.