Trend & momentum
II · Trend & momentum Researched

Carry & trend

FX carry combined with a trend filter, with risk balanced across positions.

In plain terms

In FX, higher-yielding currencies pay you to hold them (carry); trends add a timing layer. This combines the two.

How it works

Currencies are tilted by their yield differential, gated by a trend filter so the book is not carrying into a falling market, with risk balanced across positions.

What it’s tested against

Out-of-sample with stressed costs and a combinatorial overfitting check; the design is deliberately simple to limit the choices that can be over-fit.

Data

FX spot and rate-differential history.

Researched — carry and trend examined together.

All strategy families

Research record only. Strategy logic stays private; what is shown can be reconstructed from a versioned notebook and a dated data snapshot. Not investment advice.